rumoursandfacts

Names in carbon VAT fraud

By Lockenkopf, on August 26th, 2011%

Hi, does anyone know any names of the six/seven guys from Deutsche Bank who are prosecuted for their role in the carbon VAT fraud? One was mentioned during the trial, last name starts with H, first name is Dominik or Dominic, another one .

IETA/CMIA plans side events for EUA VAT trails in Germany

By rumour, on August 18th, 2011%

With a growing interest in the development of the EUA VAT trails in Germany rumours say that IETA/CMIA are planing side events and are now gathering topics and suitable speakers. As the trails will most probably last longer then any COP/MOP ever has, and, with an estimated value of more than a billion dollars, has a far higher value then any of the last COPs, it seems more then reasonable to get involved!

Here are . . . → Read More: IETA/CMIA plans side events for EUA VAT trails in Germany

Update of the EUA Future price forecast (2011-2013)

By fact, on July 7th, 2011%

Major analysts polled by Reuters lowered (again) their price forecasts (and Schwarzthal Kapital is the new SagaCarbon)

EUA price forecast July 2011

You can find the June 2011 forecast here

A Crisis of Confidence or how I learned to stop worrying and love the bomb

By rumour, on June 25th, 2011%

I am not so sure of the quality of what Mark C. Lewis, DB Research is saying here. Recession, massive international political confrontation, everything ‘down to fear’…! Alright Mark and Isabelle, isn´t that a bit too thick? The EU ETS is certainly a quite early economic indicator, but are we now on the dawn of a new recession?

In my humble opinion Chris P. Beacon brought the issue in his last post about proper surveillance . . . → Read More: A Crisis of Confidence or how I learned to stop worrying and love the bomb

What will the EUA price be at the end of 2010/2011/2012?

By fact, on June 22nd, 2011%

Major analysts polled by Reuters lowered their price forecasts

EUA price forecast June 2011

EUA price forecast (04/2011)

By fact, on April 5th, 2011%

The following table shows the results of the new Reuters EUA price forecast survey.

EUA price forecast April 2011

Carbon Fraud: Tango with Deutsche Bank

By alpha, on March 12th, 2011%

Carbon Fraud: Tango with Deutsche Bank Monday, 07 March 2011 12:06 Klaus Ott, Süddeutsche Zeitung

The damage could be at an incredible 850 million Euros. Fraudsters have ripped off the German government with the help of fraudulent emission allowances. In the middle: Deutsche Bank.

Prosecutors and tax investigators can be quite imaginative. They like to find imaginative names for special operations.

In Frankfurt, a special commission, named after the Germanic god Odin, is investigating suspects . . . → Read More: Carbon Fraud: Tango with Deutsche Bank

German Prosecutor Confirms Tax-Fraud Damage : 850 millions euros !

By alpha, on March 10th, 2011%

Germany lost (at least) 850 millions in the VAT Fraud ! This is far more than the 200 millions precedently cited… The 5 billion counter should now be closer to 10 or 15 billions… Who are the happy thieves of this

Wall Street Journal – EUROPE NEWS – MARCH 7, 2011, 2:03 P.M. ET – By JAN HROMADKO

FRANKFURT—Prosecutors confirmed Monday that value-added-tax fraud in the trade of carbon-dioxide emissions has deprived the German . . . → Read More: German Prosecutor Confirms Tax-Fraud Damage : 850 millions euros !

What will the EUA price be at the end of 2010/2011/2012? (Nov 2010)

By fact, on November 23rd, 2010%

Major analysts polled by Reuters slightly lowered their 2010 price forecasts for EUAs from 15.90 euros (09/2010 poll) to 15.70 euros.

Update (December 8th) Point Carbon analysts forgot to update the numbers two weeks ago and now changed their short-term price forecasts for EUAs.

(from Reuters)

See also June 2010 and the September 2010 forecasts

What will the EUA price be at the end of 2010? (09/2010 poll)

By fact, on September 2nd, 2010%

Analysts have decreased their price forecasts for EUAs under the EU ETS for 2010, but they see prices rising in subsequent years due to regulation and an improving economy, Reuters reports. Nevertheless, Deutsche Bank expects significant higher prices by the end of 2010 (more details)

EUA price forecast (09/2010)

See also the June 2010 and the November 2010 forecasts

Deutsche Bank expects an EUA prices of 20-25 Euros in 2010

By fact, on September 2nd, 2010%

In their brand new Carbon Emissions report “May You Live in Interesting Times …” Deutsche Bank – revised estimates for the ETS cap over 2008-20 under both the existing 20% and potential 30% EU-wide emissions-reduction targets, – updated the base-case pricing analysis for the 20% target and for the first time setting out our base-case pricing analysis for a 30% target, and – looked at the potential impact on EUA prices of applying the qualitative . . . → Read More: Deutsche Bank expects an EUA prices of 20-25 Euros in 2010

What will the EUA price be at the end of 2010?

By fact, on June 15th, 2010%

Analysts have increased their price forecasts for EUAs under the EU ETS for 2010 and beyond. They expect a tighter cap on emissions from 2012 and higher emissions from companies as they recover from recession (from Reuters news)

Nine emissions analysts polled by Reuters said they expect 2010 EUA prices to average 16 EUR this year, up from 15,40 EUR in last months poll. They also raised forecasts for subsequent years of the EU ETS. . . . → Read More: What will the EUA price be at the end of 2010?

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