rumoursandfacts

Update of the EUA Future price forecast (2011-2013)

By fact, on July 7th, 2011%

Major analysts polled by Reuters lowered (again) their price forecasts (and Schwarzthal Kapital is the new SagaCarbon)

EUA price forecast July 2011

You can find the June 2011 forecast here

What will the EUA price be at the end of 2010/2011/2012?

By fact, on June 22nd, 2011%

Major analysts polled by Reuters lowered their price forecasts

EUA price forecast June 2011

EUA price forecast (04/2011)

By fact, on April 5th, 2011%

The following table shows the results of the new Reuters EUA price forecast survey.

EUA price forecast April 2011

CMI 2011 – The price forecasting panel: What EUA prices do we expect up to 2020?

By fact, on March 11th, 2011%

Point Carbon Carbon Market Insights 2011 Amsterdam The price forecasting panel: What EUA prices do we expect up to 2020?

Emmanuel Fages (orbeo): The impact of offsets qualitative restrictions

Marius Frunza (Sagacarbon): How do Auctioning decisions impact EUA Pricing

Trevor Sikorski (Barclays Capital): Long-term forecasting

Kjersti Ulset (Thomson Reuters Point Carbon): Sensitivity of EUA prices to macro factors

What will the EUA price be at the end of 2010/2011/2012? (Nov 2010)

By fact, on November 23rd, 2010%

Major analysts polled by Reuters slightly lowered their 2010 price forecasts for EUAs from 15.90 euros (09/2010 poll) to 15.70 euros.

Update (December 8th) Point Carbon analysts forgot to update the numbers two weeks ago and now changed their short-term price forecasts for EUAs.

(from Reuters)

See also June 2010 and the September 2010 forecasts

What will the EUA price be at the end of 2010? (09/2010 poll)

By fact, on September 2nd, 2010%

Analysts have decreased their price forecasts for EUAs under the EU ETS for 2010, but they see prices rising in subsequent years due to regulation and an improving economy, Reuters reports. Nevertheless, Deutsche Bank expects significant higher prices by the end of 2010 (more details)

EUA price forecast (09/2010)

See also the June 2010 and the November 2010 forecasts

What will the EUA price be at the end of 2010?

By fact, on June 15th, 2010%

Analysts have increased their price forecasts for EUAs under the EU ETS for 2010 and beyond. They expect a tighter cap on emissions from 2012 and higher emissions from companies as they recover from recession (from Reuters news)

Nine emissions analysts polled by Reuters said they expect 2010 EUA prices to average 16 EUR this year, up from 15,40 EUR in last months poll. They also raised forecasts for subsequent years of the EU ETS. . . . → Read More: What will the EUA price be at the end of 2010?